Expertise in the Interpretation and Forecasting of Travel
 
 


             Nancy McGuckin     
Travel Behavior Analyst

 

Home Projects Papers & Publications Experience Consultant Services Contact Me
 

 

Summary 

Ms. McGuckin is an independent consultant developing expertise in the interpretation and forecasting of travel behavior.  She is best known for her ability to make meaningful information from complex data sources. She is also trained in survey methods, and provides a full spectrum of skills for obtaining and developing information, from innovative ideas for survey methods and design through data mining and interpretation for policy development and travel demand forecasting.

She currently writes bi-monthly briefs on a range of topics for the FHWA Office of Policy (http://nhts.ornl.gov/publications.shtml#issueBriefs) and contributed to the demographic analysis and forecasting of travel for the National Surface Transportation Policy and Revenue Study Commission (http://www.transportationfortomorrow.org/) She was the main author of “Journey to Work Trends in the United States and Its Major Metropolitan Areas, 1960-2000” (http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/ctpp/jtw/).

She has worked extensively with the large national databases, including the National Household Travel Survey data series (NHTS, formerly known as the NPTS), the American Travel Survey, The American Community Survey, and the various forms of the decennial Census, including PUMS and CTPP.  She is frequently asked to speak on the topic of travel behavior at conferences, associations, and for the press.

Experience

Travel Research: Current research includes the effects on peak non-work travel on congestion and potential changes to activity patterns due to Internet use.  On-going research based on the results of the National Household Travel Survey is available at: http://nhts.ornl.gov.   Reports and papers are available on this site.  Local work in Pasadena, CA on the mobility update to the General Plan, includes applying transferable parameters on travel behavior to small geography, specifically using the NHTS and LEHD tract and block-group estimates.

Statistical Analysis:  Helped develop a model of occupant behavior and egress during the evacuation of the World Trade Centers on 9/11 (http://wtc.nist.gov/NISTNCSTAR1CollapseofTowers.pdf , Project 7) for the National Institute of Standards and Technology. Developed and co-authored NCHRP Report 365, which defines transferable data for travel demand forecasting model inputs.  Used data fusion techniques and CART analysis to explore the relationship between long-distance and local travel using NHTS and the American Travel Survey (ATS). 

Survey Methods: Designs, implements, and analyzes surveys on a wide variety of topics, including origin-destination and attitudinal surveys used for quantifying and analyzing travel behavior. The range of specialty designs include: household travel surveys, on-board transit surveys, workplace surveys, special generator surveys, tourist and visitor surveys, and truck and commodity flow surveys.  Currently part of the NYMTC Technical Advisory Committee for the large-scale address-based household travel survey.

Public Speaking: Frequently asked to speak at public and professional venues on travel demand, survey techniques, and/or results of current research.  Presents the result of research at TRB and various conferences and meetings. Presents proposals during competitive bids, describes project alternatives, and communicates results of projects to committees, councils, and at public citizen’s meetings. Comfortable speaking in formal or informal settings, to large groups or small. Solicited, selected, and trained subcontractors and field personnel for surveys conducted in the U.S. and abroad.  Works well in international and diverse settings.

Education

Continuing Education through the Joint Program in Survey Methodology (JPSM), University of Maryland, University of Michigan, Westat

Post-Graduate Studies, University of Maryland, College Park, Social Psychology

Montgomery College Maryland, 1988-1989, Statistics I and II

Bachelor of Arts, Geography/Political Science, University of Texas at Austin (graduated with honors)

University of Isfahan, Isfahan Iran, 1978-1979, Persian Studies and sociological research

Associations

TRB Committee on National Data Needs  (ABJ10), active member

American Association of Public Opinion Researchers (AAPOR)

For more information please see:

Publications

Projects: Federal Surveys and Research

Projects: Regional Comprehensive Travel Surveys   

Projects: Establishment and Truck Surveys

Representative Projects: Transit Surveys