Experience

Summary  

Ms. McGuckin is an internationally respected travel behavior analyst who focuses on the interpretation and forecasting of travel trends. She: 

·          Draws insightful and meaningful information from complex data sources  

·          Designs efficient surveys to collect primary data 

·          Crafts effective presentations, reports, and briefs for technical audiences, decision makers, and the general public. 

In short, Ms. McGuckin provides a full spectrum of skills for obtaining data and developing information in service of specific transportation research needs, travel demand forecasting, and broader policy initiatives. Examples of her application of skills in complex data mining for transportation research and policy development include: 

Emerging Issues

Estimating CO2 at census tract level for sustainable community performance measures (City of Pasadena) and developing outreach to encourage behavior shifts to sustainable travel   

Analyzing factors related to pedestrians and bicycle use for active transport initiatives, and calculating exposure for non-motorized accident rates (Caltrans) 

Developing rural and long-distance travel demand parameters (NCHRP 8-84)  

Policy Initiatives

Presenting data on the growing issue of older non-drivers (Aging in America/Driving Miss Daisy) 

            Researching complex commute behavior (Trip-Chaining and the ‘Starbucks Effect’) 

Modeling evacuation behavior during extreme events (evacuation of the World Trade Centers on September 11, 2001 http://www.nist.gov/el/disasterstudies/wtc/)

Trends in Travel

Examining long-term and recent trends in commute behavior, vehicle ownership and use, and the demographic components of personal travel (http://nhts.ornl.gov/publications.shtml#issueBriefs) 

Forecasting travel trends for the National Surface Transportation Policy and Revenue Study Commission SPAN http://transportationfortomorrow.com/

Ms. McGuckin works extensively with many large national databases, including the 1969-2009 National Household Travel Survey data series, the American Travel Survey (long distance travel), the American Housing Survey, and the American Time Use Survey, in addition to the various forms of the Census, such as PUMS, ACS, and CTPP.  She is frequently asked to speak on the topic of travel behavior at conferences, associations, and for the press. 

Education and Associations

Continuing Education through the Joint Program in Survey Methodology (JPSM), University of Maryland 

Post-Graduate Studies, University of Maryland, College Park, Social Psychology and Statistics (MC) 

Bachelor of Arts, Geography/Political Science, University of Texas at Austin (graduated with honors) 

University of Isfahan, Isfahan Iran, Persian Studies and sociological research 

TRB Committee on National Data Requirements (ABJ10), active member 

TRB Committee on Urban Transportation Data and Information Systems (ABJ30), active member 

TRB Task Force on NHTS (SBJ45T), active member 

American Association of Public Opinion Researchers (AAPOR) 

The Transportation Statistics Interest Group 

Publications 

“Summary of Travel Trends: National Household Travel Survey”, Santos, A., McGuckin, N., Nakamoto, Y., and Grey, D. 2011 FHWA-PL-11-022, at: http://nhts.ornl.gov/2009/pub/stt.pdf

“Poor People’s Use of Different Modes of Public Transit: Is There a Conflict Between Rail and Bus Services?” Rosenbloom, S., McGuckin, N. presented at: Using NHTS for Transportation Decision Making Workshop, June 6, 2011 TBP. 

“Driving Miss Daisy: Women as Passengers”, McGuckin, N. Contrino, H. Nakamoto, Y., and Santos, A. Women’s Issues in Transportation, Vol. 2: Technical Papers, 2010 at: http://onlinepubs.trb.org/webmedia/trbmedia/women/McGuckin.pdf

“Travel Demand in the Context of Growing Diversity”, Contrino, H. and McGuckin, N. TR News Special Report (cover story), September/October Issue, 2009 at: http://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/trnews/trnews264TravelDemand.pdf 

“The Challenges of Surveying 'Hard to Reach' Groups”, Chapter 8 in Transport Survey Methods: Keeping Up with a Changing World; Behrens, R. Freedman, M., McGuckin, N. July 2009 at: http://trid.trb.org/view.aspx?id=923623 

“Peak Travel in America”, McGuckin, N. Contrino, H., 12^th Conference on Transportation Planning Applications, 2009 (nominated as best in conference) at: http://pubsindex.trb.org/view.aspx?id=910150 

“Demographics Matter: Travel Demand, Options, and Characteristics Among Minority Populations”, Contrino, H. and McGuckin N. Public Works Management Policy.2009; Vol. 13: No. 4, 361-368 DOI: 10.1177/1087724X09336223 at: http://trid.trb.org/view.aspx?id=901821 

 “Working Retirement—Travel Trends of the Aging Workforce” Srinivasan, N., McGuckin, N. and Murakami, E. ‘Travel Behavior and Values’, TRR  #1985, 2006 at: http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/planning/census_issues/ctpp/articles/uses_of_census_data_in_transportation/page12.cfm 

“Aging Cars, Aging Drivers” McGuckin, N. and Liss, S. ITE Journal, September 2005. 

“The Work Trip in the Context of Daily Travel” McGuckin, N., Srivivasan, N., commissioned for the Census Data for Transportation Conference, April 2005 at: http://www.nctr.usf.edu/clearinghouse/pdf/JTW%20in%20the%20Context%20of%20Daily%20Travel.pdf 

“Trip Chaining Trends in the US—Understanding Travel Behavior for Policy Making”, McGuckin, N., Zmud, J. and Nakamoto, Y. Transportation Research Record #1917 2005 at: http://pubsindex.trb.org/view.aspx?id=771478 

“Differences in Trip-Chaining Behavior between Men and Women”, McGuckin, N. and Nakamoto, Y., Research on Women’s Issues in Transportation, Volume 2: Technical Papers, 2005 at: http://nhts.ornl.gov/1995/Doc/Chain2.pdf 

“Journey-to-Work Trends in the United States and Its Major Metropolitan Areas, 1960 – 2000” (Publication no. FHWA-EP-03-058), McGuckin, N. and Srinivasan, N. 2003 at: ftp://ftp.abag.ca.gov/pub/mtc/census2000/JTW_Trends/Report.htm 

“A Walk Through Time—Changes in the Landscape of U.S. Commuting” McGuckin, N., Srinivasan, N ITE Journal 2004. 

  Top of page

  “Are Households with Interrupted Phone Service Like Those with No Telephone Service?”   McGuckin, N. Banks, D. and Keyes, M., Transportation Research Record 1768, pp 99-105, 2001 at: http://nhts.ornl.gov/1995/Doc/notel2.pdf 

“Driving to Distractions: Recreational Trips in Private Vehicles” Mallett, W. J. and McGuckin, N., TRR 1719, pp 267-272, 2000 at: http://cat.inist.fr/?aModele=afficheN&cpsidt=1106082 

“Intermodal Truck Traffic: Description and Results of a Survey in Chicago” McGuckin, N. and Christopher, E., ITE Journal, pp 38-41 December, 2000 at: http://www.highbeam.com/doc/1P3-65189773.html 

“Exploring the Full Continuum of Travel: Data Fusion by Recursive Partitioning Regression” Contrino, H., McGuckin, N, and Banks, D., International Association of Travel Behavior Research Conference (IATBR), July 2000 

“Work, Automobility, and Commuting: Differences by Race and Ethnic Backgrounds” McGuckin, N., Murakami, E. and Keyes, M. Chapter 5 in Travel Patterns of People of Color, PL-FHWA-00-024, June, 2000 at: http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/ohim/trvpatns.pdf 

“Understanding Trip-Chaining Behavior-A Comparison of Travel by Men and Women” McGuckin, N. and Murakami, E., Transportation Research Record No.1683, 1999 

NCHRP Report 365 “Travel Estimation Techniques for Urban Planning”, Martin, B. and McGuckin, N. 1996 at: http://ntl.bts.gov/lib/21000/21500/21563/PB99126724.pdf 

“Travel Survey Manual” (in partnership with Cambridge Sytematics), US DOT and US EPA, July 1996, updated by the Travel Survey Methods Committee as a wiki: http://www.travelsurveymanual.org/ 

“A Treatise on Trip Generation” Hamburg, J. and McGuckin, N., Barton-Aschman Associates (for distribution), 1990.

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