Expertise in the Interpretation and Forecasting of Travel

   Nancy McGuckin     
  Travel Behavior Analyst


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In the News

Driverless Cars?

One of the most exciting changes in travel is on the horizon: autonomous (self-driving) vehicles. Since the average family car in the US is about 10 years old, new technology integrates into the fleet slowly. This means autonomous vehicles, or ‘smart cars’ will be sharing the road with ‘dumb cars’ for many decades. Will this new technology bring safer travel, better fuel efficiency, and less congestion? Nancy McGuckin joins a distinguished panel on NPR’s ‘To The Point’ here.

Decline in Young Drivers
Millenials may be traveling differently than previous generations. There are economic reasons for the shift away from driving in younger age cohorts, McGuckin's research indicates. But she also speculates that social changes and electronic communications may have something to do with it. She recently presented her research on “Millenials and Mobility”here. This topic has also had a lot of media interest, for example this article in the Seattle Times.

Baby Boomer Travel
The baby boomers have contributed to the surge in travel over the last four decades, but there are signs boomers may already be slowing down. Recent research indicates the boomers could defy expectations again by remaining more mobile into their retirement years than past generations, according to Nancy McGuckin, travel behavior analyst. One big question is how will they continue being mobile when they can no longer drive? Read article   here. 

Travel Behavior and the Environment 

Long Distance Travel 

Demographics and Travel 

Active Travel 

Travel by Older Americans 

Peak Travel and the Journey to Work 

Employment Data and Commercial Travel 

Survey Methods and Statistics 

What is Travel Behavior?

Travel behavior is the way people move in the public realm by all means of travel and for all purposes. Some of the activities people want to engage in are separated by space, which requires people to travel. The choices they make in order to travel are based on options, constraints, habits, and opportunities. For instance, how people travel to work (by car, bus, subway, or walk), the time they leave, and the duration and type of stops they make on the way, are important aspects of travel behavior.

Other topics include understanding travel by special population groups such as new immigrants and the elderly, how household location and economics influence travel, vehicle ownership and use, and many, many more topics.

Recently she was part of the research team for Commuting in America IV which explores the many issues related to the changing workforce and the journey to work here. 

Topic Briefs for the latest research and briefs on current topics of interest.


About Ms. McGuckin:

Nancy McGuckin is an independent consultant and nationally known expert in the interpretation and forecasting of travel behavior.

She is best Nancy McGuckin, Travel Behavior Analystknown for her ability to make meaningful analysis from complex data sources and her practical interpretation of research. She recently completed forecasts of travel by older Americans, migration and immigration patterns and trends, and forecasts of non-work travel for the National Surface Transportation Policy and Revenue Study Commission.   


In her early career, she worked for Barton-Aschman/Parson’s Transportation Group developing travel and ridership forecasts for major investment studies, such as high speed rail systems in  Shanghai, San Juan, and Bangkok.

She specializes in social and demographic indicators of travel demand, and integrates data from safety, health, economic, energy, time-use, and other pertinent sources to develop the context for planning and policy initiatives. 


Recently she has turned her focus to research related to current policy concerns, such as sustainability, equity, and livable communities. She is developing data sources for performance measures and communication tools to encourage changes in daily travel that can reduce VMT and greenhouse gas emissions. For example:


A Bicycle Built for Two: Working Together to Reduce The Carbon Impact of Daily Travel:

Click link below for a representational graphic
Graphic2 - Reducing GHG emissions--bicycle graphic.pdf