Expertise in the Interpretation and Forecasting of Travel
 
 


             Nancy McGuckin     
Travel Behavior Analyst

 

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New!  In the News

Young people have delayed getting licensed to drive, and for the first time in history more young women are licensed than young men. Read complete article from the Seattle Times. There has also been a sharp decline in vehicle trips and the number of miles traveled by vehicle for 16- to 29-year old males.  There may be economic reasons for the shift away from driving in younger age cohorts, McGuckin's research indicates. But she also speculates that electronic communications may have something to do with it.

The baby boomers have contributed to the surge in travel over the last four decades, but there are signs boomers may already be slowing down. The rate of growth in travel in the U.S. began slowing in 2006. Actual miles traveled dropped sharply during the 2008 recession and now appear to have leveled off. But boomers could defy expectations again by remaining more mobile into their retirement years than past generations, according to Nancy McGuckin, travel behavior analyst. One big question is how will they continue being mobile when they can no longer drive? Read article here

Travel Behavior and the Environment

Long Distance Travel

Demographics and Travel

Active Travel

Travel by Older Americans

Peak Travel and the Journey to Work

Employment Data and Commercial Travel

Survey Methods and Statistics

What is Travel Behavior?

Travel behavior is the way people move in the public realm by all means of travel and for all purposes. Some of the activities people want to engage in are separated by space, which requires people to travel. The choices they make in order to travel are based on options, constraints, habits, and opportunities. For instance, how people travel to work (by car, bus, subway, or walk), the time they leave, and the duration and type of stops they make on the way, are important aspects of travel behavior.

Other topics include understanding travel by special population groups such as new immigrants and the elderly, how household location and economics influence travel, vehicle ownership and use, and many, many more topics. Recently, she completed an important Summary of Travel Trends, covering changes in American travel behavior since 1969: http://nhts.ornl.gov/2009/pub/stt.pdf

New! See Topic Briefs for the latest research and briefs on current topics of interest.


About Ms. McGuckin:

Nancy McGuckin is an independent consultant and nationally known expert in the interpretation and forecasting of travel behavior. She is best known for her ability to make meaningful analysis from complex data sources and her practical interpretation of research. She recently completed forecasts of travel by older Americans, migration and immigration patterns and trends, and forecasts of non-work travel for the National Surface Transportation Policy and Revenue Study Commission.   

 

In her early career, she worked for Barton-Aschman/Parson’s Transportation Group developing travel and ridership forecasts for major investment studies, such as high speed rail systems in  Shanghai, San Juan, and Bangkok. She specializes in social and demographic indicators of travel demand, and integrates data from safety, health, economic, energy, time-use, and other pertinent sources to develop the context for planning and policy initiatives. 

 

Recently she has turned her focus to research related to current policy concerns, such as sustainability, equity, and livable communities. She is developing data sources for performance measures and communication tools to encourage changes in daily travel that can reduce VMT and greenhouse gas emissions. For example:

 

A Bicycle Built for Two: Working Together to Reduce The Carbon Impact of Daily Travel - Click link below for a representational graphic.

Graphic2 - Reducing GHG emissions--bicycle graphic.pdf